Thursday, December 13, 2012

Commercial/Multifamily Mortgage Delinquency Rates Down in Third Quarter

Our commercial lenders, buyers, and sellers have been hit hard over the last few years.  However, over the last few months, we have noticed commercial projects starting back up along 17-92 in Orlando and Winter Park.  A good sign that the economy is improving.  

The following press release from Mortgage Bankers' Association  continues the good news for all of us:
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WASHINGTON, D.C. (December 6, 2012) – Delinquency rates decreased for commercial and multifamily mortgage loans in the third quarter, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Commercial/Multifamily Delinquency Report. 



“Commercial and multifamily mortgage delinquency rates for loans held by life companies, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac all remain extremely low,” said Jamie Woodwell, MBA’s Vice President of Commercial Real Estate Research. “The delinquency rate on bank-held loans is at its lowest level since the beginning of 2009 and the delinquency rate for loans held in commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) – while still elevated – continues to stabilize. If one removes the CMBS loans that are in foreclosure or REO, that delinquency rate is at its lowest since late 2009.” 



During the third quarter of 2012, the 60+ day delinquency rate for commercial and multifamily mortgages held in life company portfolios decreased 0.03 percentage points to 0.12 percent. The 60+ day delinquency rate for multifamily loans held or insured by Fannie Mae decreased 0.01 percentage points to 0.28 percent. The 90+ day delinquency rate for loans held by FDIC-insured banks and thrifts decreased 0.18 percentage points to 2.93 percent. The 30+ day delinquency rate for loans held in commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) decreased 0.11 percentage points to 8.86 percent. The 60+ day delinquency rate for multifamily loans held or insured by Freddie Mac remained the same at 0.27 percent.

The third quarter 2012 delinquency rate for commercial and multifamily mortgages held in life insurance company portfolios was 7.41 percentage points lower than the series high (7.53 percent, reached during the second quarter of 1992). The delinquency rate for multifamily loans held by Freddie Mac was 6.54 percentage points lower than the series high (6.81 percent, reached in the fourth quarter of 1992). The delinquency rate for multifamily loans held by Fannie Mae was 3.34 percentage points below the series high (3.62 percent, reached during the fourth quarter of 1991). The rate for commercial and multifamily mortgages held by banks and thrifts was 3.65 percentage points lower than the series high (6.58 percent, reached in the second quarter of 1991). The rate for loans held in CMBS was 0.16 percentage points below the series high (9.02 percent, reached in the second quarter of 2011).

Please note: In March 2012, MBA released a DataNote covering the performance of commercial and multifamily mortgages at commercial banks and thrifts over the entire year 2011. The DataNote found that commercial and multifamily mortgages had the lowest charge-off rates of any major loan type and had delinquency rates lower than the overall book of loans and leases held by banks and thrifts. The DataNote can be found at:  www.mortgagebankers.org/research.

Construction and development loans are not included in the numbers presented here, but are included in many regulatory definitions of ‘commercial real estate’ despite the fact that they are often backed by single-family residential development projects rather than by office buildings, apartment buildings, shopping centers or other income-producing properties. The FDIC delinquency rates for bank and thrift held mortgages reported here do include loans backed by owner-occupied commercial properties.

The MBA analysis looks at commercial/multifamily delinquency rates for five of the largest investor-groups: commercial banks and thrifts, commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS), life insurance companies, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Together these groups hold more than 80 percent of commercial/multifamily mortgage debt outstanding.

The analysis incorporates the same measures used by each individual investor group to track the performance of their loans. Because each investor group tracks delinquencies in its own way, delinquency rates are not comparable from one group to another.

Based on the unpaid principal balance (UPB) of loans, delinquency rates for each group at the end of the third quarter were as follows:

• Life company portfolios: 0.12 percent (60 or more delinquent);
• Freddie Mac:  0.27 percent (60 or more days delinquent);
• Fannie Mae:  0.28 percent (60 or more days delinquent);
• Banks and thrifts:  2.93 percent (90 or more days delinquent or in non-accrual);
• CMBS:  8.86 percent (30 or more days delinquent or in REO).

Differences between the delinquency measures are detailed in Appendix A.
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To view the report, please visit the following Web link: click here

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